That Noisy Trump

Campaign Promises vs. Reality

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A systematic record of the gap between Trump's 2024 campaign promises and the reality of his second term. He pledged to drain the swamp — then launched personal meme coins on inauguration day, created a pay-to-play pardon industry, and sold early access to Truth Social posts to Wall Street for $100,000 a month. He promised no new endless wars — then bombed Iran without congressional approval, sustaining a conflict that cost $11.3 billion in its first six days. He vowed to lower prices immediately — inflation rose and gas hit $4.48 a gallon. He promised to end the Ukraine war in 24 hours — later calling that claim 'sarcastic.' He pledged $2 trillion in DOGE savings; DOGE cost taxpayers $10 billion. He vowed not to touch Medicare; the 'Big Beautiful Bill' cut $1.1 trillion from healthcare. He promised to release the Epstein files — his DOJ blocked and redacted them for months until Congress forced his hand. He vowed to end government weaponization — then purged DOJ prosecutors, indicted political critics including former FBI Director Comey, and threatened TV networks' broadcast licenses.

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January 2025
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Day 1 · 20 Jan 2025Economy

Donald Trump and Melania Trump launched cryptocurrency meme coins, with Trump's $TRUMP coin experiencing significant volatility before and after inauguration. Trump is set to benefit from crypto holdings that could make him a "crypto billionaire."

Day 8 · 27 Jan 2025Legal

Trump fired federal government watchdogs including inspectors at the State and Defense departments. Senator Adam Schiff criticized the firings as a 'clear violation of law.'

Day 9 · 28 Jan 2025Domestic

Trump administration fired Justice Department officials who had worked for prosecutor Jack Smith, with the acting attorney general stating that career officials could not be trusted to 'faithfully implement the president's agenda.'

February 2025
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Day 16 · 4 Feb 2025Legal

Trump personally ordered the firing of special counsel prosecutors who worked for Jack Smith, according to multiple sources, representing a significant assertion of presidential power over the Justice Department.

Day 23 · 11 Feb 2025Legal

Trump directed the Department of Justice to pause prosecutions under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, which bans bribery of foreign officials. The directive came alongside his pardon of Rod Blagojevich.

Day 24 · 12 Feb 2025Economy

US inflation unexpectedly rose to 3% in January, contradicting Trump's campaign promise to rapidly lower prices. The increase was driven by higher food prices and makes Federal Reserve interest rate cuts less likely.

Day 32 · 20 Feb 2025Legal

An appeals court denied Trump's request to reinstate his executive order banning birthright citizenship. The president had signed the order on day one, targeting citizenship for children of non-legal permanent residents.

Day 32 · 20 Feb 2025Domestic

Trump and Elon Musk suggested returning 20% of government 'savings' to American households through $5,000 checks if DOGE cost-cutting targets are met, though details remain unclear and some experts warn of potential inflation risks.

Day 33 · 21 Feb 2025Domestic

Trump administration removes ICE Chief Caleb Vitello amid reported frustration over slower-than-expected rates of arrests and deportations, signaling the administration's push to accelerate its mass deportation agenda.

March 2025
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Day 55 · 15 Mar 2025Economy

Trump said his earlier promise to end the Russia-Ukraine war in 24 hours was "a bit sarcastic." The clarification came after international criticism of his unrealistic timeline for peace negotiations.

Day 62 · 22 Mar 2025Domestic

Trump revoked security clearances for multiple former officials including Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Hillary Clinton, Antony Blinken, Liz Cheney, Adam Kinzinger, and Letitia James in a Friday memo, characterizing them as political opponents.

Day 68 · 28 Mar 2025Legal

Two major law firms, Jenner & Block and WilmerHale, filed lawsuits against Trump to stop executive orders that would halt government business with their firms. Separately, Skadden reportedly reached a deal with Trump to avoid being targeted.

April 2025
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Day 81 · 10 Apr 2025Legal

President Trump directed the Department of Justice to investigate two former officials from his first administration who became public critics. This move is part of an escalating pattern of using official power to scrutinize perceived political opponents.

Day 81 · 10 Apr 2025Legal

Critics accused President Trump of market manipulation after he posted that it was 'a great time to buy' on social media just hours before announcing the tariff pause, raising questions about insider trading concerns.

Day 90 · 19 Apr 2025Foreign Policy

Trump has walked back his campaign promise to end the Russia-Ukraine war in 24 hours, signaling uncertainty about his ability to negotiate a swift peace deal. Russian observers previously believed Trump could resolve the conflict quickly but are now doubting his capacity to do so.

Day 91 · 20 Apr 2025Legal

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth shared classified Yemen attack details in a private Signal group chat with his family, according to reporting by the New York Times. Hegseth texted strike information to family members in a group chat he created.

Day 104 · 3 May 2025Economy

Trump claimed grocery and gas prices are falling, but economic experts characterized the claims as misleading regarding the actual state of inflation and consumer prices.

Day 118 · 17 May 2025Domestic

Trump accused former FBI Director James Comey of calling for his killing through a coded picture showing shells arranged to spell '8647,' a slang term for ejecting a customer from a bar. Comey's post sparked the accusation.

Day 121 · 20 May 2025Domestic

The U.S. Senate confirmed Charles Kushner, the father of Jared Kushner, as ambassador to France. Kushner had previously been pardoned by Trump for a tax evasion conviction.

Day 123 · 22 May 2025Economy

Trump hosted an exclusive dinner for major investors in his memecoin at Trump National Golf Course, with hundreds of guests who had lost millions despite the opportunity to attend. Guests were reportedly greeted with chants of 'shame' upon arrival.

Day 126 · 25 May 2025Social

Trump's involvement in cryptocurrency, including the promotion of $Trump memecoin, has sparked ethics concerns over potential influence buying. The Guardian described it as a 'roadmap for corruption.'

Day 128 · 27 May 2025Legal

Trump pardoned former Virginia sheriff Scott Jenkins, who was convicted of accepting over $75,000 in bribes in exchange for appointing auxiliary deputy sheriffs. Trump also pardoned tax evader Paul Walczak after his mother attended a $1 million fundraising dinner and helped raise millions of dollars for the president.

Day 134 · 2 Jun 2025Legal

A CREW investigation found Trump has granted clemency to at least 20 politicians convicted of corruption, bribery, fraud, and related charges, with eleven recipients collectively evading roughly 66 years of prison time across 166 corruption counts. Several avoided prison entirely — including a Virginia sheriff pardoned the day before he was due to report, and a Nevada politician pardoned before sentencing after stealing funds meant to honour slain police officers. CREW noted Trump has already surpassed the pace of corruption-related political pardons from his entire first term.

Day 136 · 4 Jun 2025Domestic

The Congressional Budget Office released a non-partisan analysis stating that Trump's tax bill would add $2.4 trillion to the U.S. debt and leave 10.9 million people uninsured by 2034. The White House has been seeking to enshrine funding cuts totaling $9.4 billion, including $8.3 billion from state and USAID and $1.1 billion from media outlets like NPR and PBS.

Day 143 · 11 Jun 2025Economy

US inflation rose to 2.4% in May, up from 2.3% in April, as Trump's tariff policies continue to put upward pressure on prices. The increase comes as the administration pushes ahead with controversial trade measures.

Day 155 · 23 Jun 2025Foreign Policy

The U.S. launched extensive bombing strikes on Iran's nuclear sites under Trump's direction, with the president claiming 'monumental damage' and questioning whether regime change could 'make Iran great again.' Iran retaliated by launching missiles at a U.S. base in Qatar, escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Day 161 · 29 Jun 2025Domestic

The Congressional Budget Office found Trump's bill would include $1.1 trillion in healthcare cuts and result in 11.8 million people losing insurance coverage, with deeper cuts than previous versions of the legislation.

Day 175 · 13 Jul 2025Social

Elon Musk publicly criticized Trump's defense of Attorney General Pam Bondi over the Epstein controversy, calling on Trump to 'just release the files as promised.' This reflected tension within Trump's base over the handling of the released Epstein documents.

Day 177 · 15 Jul 2025Social

The Trump administration's handling of the Jeffrey Epstein files release has triggered significant backlash from MAGA supporters and conservative figures, with critics including Candace Owens, Tucker Carlson, and Marjorie Taylor Greene questioning Trump's approach. House Speaker Mike Johnson called for release of the Epstein files, and Democrats demanded hearings with Attorney General Pam Bondi and FBI chief Kash Patel.

Day 179 · 17 Jul 2025Legal

Trump called the Jeffrey Epstein files controversy a 'hoax' and accused critics of being MAGA 'weaklings,' prompting rare backlash from his political base. The White House stated Trump is not interested in naming a special counsel for the Epstein case.

Day 179 · 17 Jul 2025Legal

Maurene Comey, a federal prosecutor in the Jeffrey Epstein case at the U.S. attorney's office in the southern district of New York, was abruptly fired by the Department of Justice. No specific reason was given for her termination, with the DoJ citing Trump's constitutional powers.

Day 181 · 19 Jul 2025Legal

Senate Democrat Dick Durbin alleged that FBI personnel were instructed to flag Epstein files mentioning Trump. Attorney General Pam Bondi filed a motion to unseal grand jury transcripts, citing the case as 'a matter of public concern.'

Day 183 · 21 Jul 2025Economy

A Congressional Budget Office analysis found that Trump's tax bill will add $3.4 trillion to US debt over the next decade and leave approximately 10 million more Americans without health insurance by 2034.

September 2025
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Day 233 · 9 Sept 2025Economy

The U.S. Department of Labor revealed that the country created 911,000 fewer jobs through March 2025 than initially reported, revising downward the employment figures and raising new concerns about the health of the labor market following a lackluster August jobs report.

Day 244 · 20 Sept 2025Legal

Federal prosecutor Erik Siebert, who was investigating Trump critics including New York Attorney General Letitia James and former FBI Director James Comey, resigned after Trump publicly stated 'I want him out.' Siebert's investigation had found insufficient evidence to charge James with a crime.

Day 244 · 20 Sept 2025Domestic

Trump demanded that Attorney General Bondi 'move now' to prosecute his political adversaries, one day after he ousted federal prosecutor Erik Siebert for failing to charge New York AG Letitia James and former FBI Director James Comey.

Day 249 · 25 Sept 2025Legal

A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey after President Trump intensified pressure on the Justice Department demanding prosecution. The move follows Trump's public campaign targeting Comey.

October 2025
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Day 272 · 18 Oct 2025Domestic

The U.S. Senate appeared poised to approve an industry lobbyist, Douglas Troutman, to lead chemical safety at the EPA. If confirmed, the top four toxics office positions at the agency would be held by former industry lobbyists.

November 2025
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Day 289 · 4 Nov 2025Legal

House Democrat Jamie Raskin accused Trump's Department of Justice of a 'gigantic cover-up' for abruptly ending an investigation into Epstein co-conspirators.

Day 295 · 10 Nov 2025Economy

Trump announced plans for a '$2,000 tariff dividend' to provide payments to Americans from tariff revenues, framing the policy as a way to distribute gains from his tariff agenda.

Day 302 · 17 Nov 2025Legal

President Trump called on House Republicans to vote to release Jeffrey Epstein files, reversing his previous opposition and stating 'we have nothing to hide.' This reversal came as pressure mounted from lawmakers who sought to force disclosure of the documents.

Day 305 · 20 Nov 2025Legal

Trump signed legislation requiring the Department of Justice to release Epstein documents within 30 days, ending months of resistance from the president and his political allies. Republicans warned Attorney General Bondi not to delay or heavily redact the records, and Congressman Ro Khanna warned officials that those who impede the release will be prosecuted.

Day 309 · 24 Nov 2025Legal

A federal judge dismissed criminal cases against former FBI Director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James, ruling that the Trump-appointed interim U.S. attorney had 'no lawful authority' to indict them. The decision is a setback for the president's efforts to use the criminal justice system against perceived political enemies.

December 2025
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Day 322 · 7 Dec 2025Domestic

Trump criticized Representative Henry Cuellar for lacking loyalty after pardoning him on bribery charges, as Cuellar announced his House re-election bid as a Democrat rather than switching parties.

Day 335 · 20 Dec 2025Legal

The Department of Justice released a heavily redacted cache of Jeffrey Epstein files on Friday and Saturday, with 16 photos subsequently removed from the government website, including at least one featuring President Trump. Democrats, Republican lawmakers including Thomas Massie and Marjorie Taylor Greene, and Epstein survivors condemned the redactions and selective releases as insufficient.

Day 337 · 22 Dec 2025Legal

Epstein survivors criticized the Justice Department for what they called 'extreme redactions' in the latest file release, stating that the release constituted only a fraction of the files. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said he would ask the Senate to back legal action over the partial release.

January 2026
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Day 355 · 9 Jan 2026Economy

Data analysis found that the Trump administration's DOGE cost US taxpayers approximately $10 billion to cover paid leave for over 154,000 federal employees affected by its cost-cutting measures.

Day 357 · 11 Jan 2026Legal

President Trump said in an interview that he regrets not seizing voting machines after the 2020 election to search for evidence of fraud, though he acknowledged the National Guard might have lacked the sophistication to do so.

February 2026
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Day 387 · 10 Feb 2026Legal

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified that he had lunch with Jeffrey Epstein on his private island in 2012, as he faces calls from lawmakers to resign and amid revelations about his meeting with a Detroit bridge owner.

Day 405 · 28 Feb 2026Economy

The Trump administration stated that the tariff refund process 'will take time' after the Department of Justice declined to ask the Supreme Court to rehear a tariffs case despite the president's complaints.

March 2026
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Day 407 · 2 Mar 2026Foreign Policy

Trump announced that the Iran conflict could last four to five weeks but acknowledged it could extend far longer, while declining to rule out sending ground troops. The president stated he ordered attacks to thwart Tehran's nuclear aims and indicated willingness to engage in talks with Iran as the conflict deepens across the Middle East.

Day 408 · 3 Mar 2026Foreign Policy

The administration's justification for the Iran war has shifted multiple times—from claims of an imminent Iranian preemptive strike to allegations of Israeli lobbying. Democrats criticized Secretary of State Marco Rubio's briefings as 'totally insufficient' in articulating clear war objectives.

Day 411 · 6 Mar 2026Economy

The U.S. economy lost 92,000 jobs in February, with the unemployment rate at 4.4%, occurring just before Trump joined the Iran conflict. This came after 126,000 jobs were added in January.

Day 411 · 6 Mar 2026Legal

New York Times investigation reveals a 'pardon industry' has emerged around the Trump administration, with wealthy inmates studying the blueprint of Joseph Schwartz, who spent nearly $1 million on lobbyists and operatives to secure his presidential pardon. Schwartz paid right-wing operatives claiming ties to Trump confidante Laura Loomer, a lobbyist connected to pro-Israel evangelical networks, and lawyers with personal relationships with Trump's 'pardon czar' Alice Marie Johnson and White House counsel David Warrington — walking free after just three months of a three-year federal sentence. Fellow inmates at Otisville federal prison camp have been studying Schwartz's campaign, raising questions about whether clemency under Trump is effectively for sale.

Day 412 · 7 Mar 2026Legal

Trump bypassed Congress regarding the Iran war after both the Senate and House blocked a war powers measure, allowing the president to continue military operations without congressional interference. This represents a significant assertion of executive power over foreign military engagement.

Day 414 · 9 Mar 2026Foreign Policy

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated there will be more casualties in the US war with Iran, as the number of US service members killed has reached seven. Video evidence shows a US Tomahawk missile struck a base near a bombed Iranian school in Minab, killing scores of children.

Day 417 · 12 Mar 2026Economy

Gas and oil prices have risen sharply during the Iran conflict, with Trump initially championing lower prices but now claiming that higher prices benefit the country. The war is described as creating the largest supply disruption in oil market history, with significant economic consequences globally.

Day 417 · 12 Mar 2026Economy

The Pentagon disclosed that the Iran war has cost more than $11.3 billion in the first six days of conflict, though the true total price remains unknown as the figure does not account for all spending. The cost raises questions about the war's long-term fiscal impact.

Day 421 · 16 Mar 2026Foreign Policy

Trump made contradictory statements about the Iran war, saying 'maybe we shouldn't even be there' to reporters on Air Force One, shortly after urging allies to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. Vice President JD Vance separately attempted to present a united front, denying reports of disagreement within the administration.

Day 422 · 17 Mar 2026Foreign Policy

The national counter-terrorism center director Joe Kent resigned over the Iran war, claiming Iran posed no imminent threat to the US and criticizing the intelligence basis for the conflict. His departure represents the most senior administration resignation over the military campaign to date.

Day 427 · 22 Mar 2026Foreign Policy

Since the start of the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran, approximately 1,500 people have been killed, with homes destroyed and ancient sites damaged. The Strait of Hormuz closure has created major supply chain disruptions affecting global food and energy markets, raising concerns about inflation and economic impacts worldwide.

Day 436 · 31 Mar 2026Economy

U.S. average fuel prices surpassed $4 per gallon for the first time in four years amid the Iran conflict, while global oil prices jumped to $118 per barrel after Trump's comments, with drivers in the UK facing fuel costs exceeding £100 per tank.

April 2026
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Day 440 · 4 Apr 2026Foreign Policy

Trump has pledged a quick end to the Iran war but has not provided a clear explanation of how he intends to achieve that goal; Iran's leaders have so far remained unwilling to comply with U.S. demands.

Day 455 · 19 Apr 2026Economy

Trump's energy secretary Chris Wright stated that gas prices may not drop below $3 per gallon until 2027, as the average price surges to $4 per gallon in the United States. Wright expressed uncertainty about a timeline for lower prices.

Day 464 · 28 Apr 2026Legal

The Justice Department indicted former FBI Director James Comey over an Instagram post featuring seashells that prosecutors allege was a threat to President Trump, while Comey maintains his innocence. The case has drawn significant scrutiny as part of ongoing tensions between Trump and his former intelligence official.

Day 464 · 28 Apr 2026Domestic

The FCC ordered a review of ABC's broadcast licenses following Trump administration complaints over Jimmy Kimmel's joke about Melania Trump made days before the press dinner shooting. The Trumps called for Kimmel to be fired, prompting national debate over media freedom and presidential interference.

Day 482 · 16 May 2026Domestic

Trump reportedly may settle his lawsuit against the IRS for a $1.7 billion fund to compensate himself and his allies, which would involve the use of billions of taxpayer dollars in what critics describe as an unprecedented self-dealing maneuver.

Day 484 · 18 May 2026Legal

The Department of Justice established a $1.8 billion 'anti-weaponization' fund to compensate people it claims were wronged by the federal government, a group that could largely consist of Trump allies including January 6 rioters. Democratic lawmakers criticized the fund as raising 'the specter of corruption unparalleled'.

Day 493 · 27 May 2026Economy

The Trump administration has paid out $20 billion in tariff refunds, with an additional $65 billion in refunds pending, following a Supreme Court ruling that Trump overstepped his authority in implementing sweeping tariffs.

Day 494 · 28 May 2026Domestic

A federal court ordered the Customs and Border Protection commissioner to appear at a hearing next month regarding tariff refunds, as part of ongoing legal challenges to Trump administration tariff policies.

Day 504 · 7 Jun 2026Domestic

Trump refused to rule out using a newly established 'anti-weaponization' fund to compensate Capitol rioters who attacked police on January 6, saying he would 'pay the kind of money they deserve' during the Meet the Press interview.

Day 531 · 4 Jul 2026Economy

Nearly a million investors lost a combined $3.8 billion on the Trump memecoin, with most retail investors losing money while sophisticated traders performed better, according to a cryptocurrency analytics report.

Day 542 · 15 Jul 2026Legal

Vice President JD Vance admitted on the Joe Rogan podcast that the Trump administration 'screwed up' and 'mishandled' communications around the release of the Epstein files, marking one of the clearest public acknowledgments yet from the administration of the mishandling.

Day 543 · 16 Jul 2026Legal

A White House teleprompter operator was placed on unpaid leave after the prediction market Kalshi flagged approximately $100,000 in trades allegedly made using advance knowledge of Trump's prepared speeches. Federal regulators opened an investigation into potential insider trading.

Day 544 · 17 Jul 2026Legal

Trump threatened to revoke the broadcast licenses of ABC and NBC after they declined to air his primetime election security address live. Fox News, CBS, and some ABC affiliates carried the speech, while NBC and CNN chose not to preempt regular programming.

Day 544 · 17 Jul 2026Economy

Trump Media announced plans to sell 'Truth API'—faster access to Trump's posts on Truth Social—for up to $100,000 monthly fees to Wall Street trading firms and other institutional clients. The product launch is scheduled for August 1, with the company claiming it has already signed up customers. Critics called it brazen corruption and an unprecedented monetization of presidential office.

Day 551 · 24 Jul 2026Economy

Oil prices surged above $100 per barrel amid escalating U.S.-Iran military conflict, with the U.S. carrying out its 13th consecutive night of strikes. Gasoline prices jumped to $4.11 per gallon, driving cost-of-living concerns that polls show are severely damaging Republican midterm prospects.

August 2026
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Day 560 · 2 Aug 2026Economy

Widespread reporting followed the Truth Social early-access launch, with legal experts warning the scheme may constitute insider trading — allowing subscribers paying up to $100,000 per month to receive Trump's market-moving posts ahead of the general public and trade on them before wider release. The story drew comparisons to securities fraud and calls for congressional investigation.

Day 563 · 5 Aug 2026Economy

The Trump administration has paid out $100 billion in tariff refunds, representing more than half of the $166 billion owed to American businesses after the Supreme Court ruled Trump's emergency tariff authority unconstitutional.

Day 572 · 14 Aug 2026Legal

A federal judge showed signs of frustration with DOJ attorneys handling the Epstein files release, warning they could face contempt of court charges unless they comply with orders to release documents. The judge stated the public has a right to know what happened.

Day 577 · 19 Aug 2026Economy

The US national debt surpassed $40 trillion for the first time, accelerated by spending on the Iran war, tax cuts, and tariff refunds. Economists attribute the rapid accumulation to Trump's policies and the Biden administration's spending.

Day 584 · 26 Aug 2026Economy

Montana cattle ranchers expressed frustration with Trump's decision to import 300,000 metric tons of foreign beef, seeing it as contradicting his protectionist trade policies.

Day 587 · 29 Aug 2026Economy

U.S. national debt surpassed $40 trillion (nearly $300,000 per household) with a debt-to-GDP ratio hitting 124%, raising concerns about the quality of life for Americans and future economic stability.

September 2026
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Day 599 · 10 Sept 2026Domestic

President Trump pledged to send $5,000 to every American adult if Republicans retain control of Congress in the midterm elections. The promise, made at the GOP's first midterm convention in Dallas, would cost over $1.3 trillion and drew immediate criticism from economists, Democratic officials, and even some Republicans over fiscal feasibility and affordability amid a $40 trillion national debt.

Day 600 · 11 Sept 2026Domestic

President Trump and Vice President JD Vance headlined the Republican midterm convention in Dallas, with Trump pledging $5,000 'dividend' payments to all U.S. adults if Republicans retained control of Congress. Trump also asked the crowd to pledge they would vote and jokingly requested supporters to 'cheat like hell' in the midterms.

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